The two declared candidates sit on either side of this division, and they each have a like-minded former mayor in their corner. Peralez has the support of Ron Gonzales, a long-standing union ally who stepped down in early 2007; Gonzales is the first Latino to lead San Jose, while Peralez is said to be the second.
Davis, meanwhile, unveiled an endorsement this week. by Chuck Reed, Gonzales’ immediate successor and man as longtime political observer Terry Christensen last year called “the most conservative mayor we have had in probably half a century.” Davis would be the first woman to become mayor in almost a quarter of a century.
The ground is far from settled, however. Board member Matt Mahan, who was elected as a business ally last year, hasn’t ruled anything out, and San Jose Spotlight’s Lloyd Alaban writes that he “should join the mayoral race”.
Santa Clara County Supervisor Cindy Chavez, who previously led the local AFL-CIO, recently set up a campaign committee, and although she has not yet announced a campaign, she debated Peralez during a mayor’s forum Monday. Chavez, who is said to be San Jose’s first Latino leader, ran here in 2006 when she was vice mayor but was retained by a number of scandals in local government and lost to Reed 59-41. However, it bounced back in 2013 by winning a special election for the five-member supervisory board. There is also still time for other local politicians to enter.
It will also take some time before potential candidates find out just how powerful the job they envision will be or when they will then have to stand in front of voters. As Mauricio La Plante explained to Spotlight last year, the mayor only has a little more power as each of the 10 other members of the city council under the city charter in force. Rather, most of the most important tasks of city government fall to the city manager, who is hired and fired by the city council. However, the city’s new 23-member Charter Review Board is is currently studying proposals this would greatly strengthen the power of the mayor.
The Commission also voted last month for a recommendation align future mayoral elections with the presidential calendar from 2024: under this plan, the person elected in 2022 would only serve a two-year term, but would be eligible for a pair of four-year terms in the future. The body also thinks adopt a new electoral system in the future like instant-draw voting.
It is currently planned that the Commission submit recommendations to city council in mid-December. On the basis of these recommendations, the city council make the final decision on the proposed changes to the charter that will be presented to voters in 2022, whether in the primary elections in June or the general elections in November.
● IN Redistribution: Indiana State House adopted new maps drawn by republicans for Congress and the Legislature in a majority partisan vote, with three Republicans joining all Democrats in opposing it. The package will now make its way to the State Senate, where a committee should take it on Monday, with a final vote before the plenary assembly scheduled for Friday.
The Congress map would make the suburb of Indianapolis 5th District, a historically conservative territory that became competitive during the Trump era, considerably redder and more rural: the current district, represented by GOP Representative Victoria Spartz, voted for Donald Trump by a narrow 50-48 margin last year, but preliminary analysis suggests the new version would have gone for Trump 57-41 instead, the same as his statewide margin in 2020. In the together, the card would almost certainly elect seven Republicans and just two Democrats, giving the GOP 78% of the state’s congressional delegation.
The new legislative districts would also lock in huge GOP benefits: redistribution expert Christopher Warshaw, professor at George Washington University, called the state house card “one of the most extreme gerrymanders in history.” According to an analysis by PlanScore, a card assessment site run by the non-partisan Campaign Legal Center, Republicans would likely win 78% of all Senate seats and 69% in the House.
● ND redistribution: Republican-led North Dakota Legislature has published a large number of legislative proposals for redistributing. The state uses the same card for its upper and lower houses, with each district electing a senator and two representatives. Lawmakers should not take up the issue until a special session it starts on November 8th. North Dakota is only entitled to one seat in Congress, so the federal redistribution is not in issue.
● AL-Sen: Republican firm Public Opinion Strategies released a main GOP poll that gives Rep. Mo Brooks a big lead 41-11 on Katie Boyd Britt, former head of the Business Council of Alabama; 2020 House candidate Jessica Taylor lags behind with 7%, while former Slovenia Ambassador Lynda Blanchard takes 3%. The Washington Examiner writes that the survey was “conducted primarily to research attitudes toward energy policy among state voters.”
● ME-Govt: Senator Susan Collins seconded Paul LePage on Wednesday in a move that almost confirms the former governor will not receive any serious Republican primary in his quest to take on incumbent Democrat Janet Mills. Far-right LePage was once a fierce critic of Collins who mistakenly predicted her 2016 refusal to support Donald Trump meant she was ‘done in Maine’, but he backed her year-round re-election campaign last.
● Governors: Former Republican Senator Dean Heller announced earlier this week that he would seek revenge for his 2018 ouster by posing as governor of Nevada, and a victory would admit it to a very small club of American politicians. In a new study, Eric Ostermeier of the University of Minnesota finds that since 1900, only seven senators have beaten were then elected to lead their state.
A member of that septet, Republican Mike DeWine, is currently governor of Ohio, although he served as state attorney general between his ejection from the Senate in 2006 and his gubernatorial victory in 2018. Former Republican colleague of DeWine and other 2006 loser Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island won his only tenure as chief executive in 2010 as an independent, making him the only other fired senator to become governor in the 21st century. The last person to achieve this in the 20th century was another New England Republican who became independent, Lowell Weicker of Connecticut in 1990.
PS In another study, Ostermeier notes that Heller would be the first sitting or former senator from Nevada never appear on the ballot for governor in a primary or general election.
● Atlanta, Georgia: City Council President Felicia Moore is with his first TV spot before the mayor’s non-partisan primary in November; his campaign told Atlanta Journal-Constitution The ad was part of a six-figure buy, although they don’t reveal more. Two of Moore’s rivals, former mayor Kasim Reed and lawyer Sharon Gay, started airing ads a few weeks ago, while city councilor Andre Dickens hit the air last week.
Moore tell the audience how her “commitment to service” began with her family and later at her historically black college. She goes on to describe how she used her time on city council to pass laws helping the elderly and instituting ethical reforms, concluding: “As the next mayor, I will make sure the city works for you, not for me. . “
● Cleveland, OH mayor: Head of the Justin Bibb association overtook City Council President Kevin Kelley 27-19 in last week’s non-partisan primary, but Kelley came out with a poll to say he is hardly underdog heading into the November general election. Pathway poll finds Kelley bordering Bibb 32-30; the company was founded by Team Blue’s 2014 nominee for governor of Ohio, former Cuyahoga County executive Ed FitzGerald.
Bibb, meanwhile, got mentions this week. of the two SEIU sections of the city, Local 1 and District 1199. District 1199, which represents health and social service workers, supported State Senator Sandra Williams in the non-partisan primary. Cleveland Scene, however, notes that the union had come into conflict with Kelley on several occasions, particularly over her opposition to increasing the minimum wage to $ 15 an hour, so it’s no surprise it’s pulling for Bibb now.
The general election between Bibb and Kelley will be a competition between two candidates with very different backgrounds. Bibb, who is 34, is a first-time candidate who would be Cleveland’s youngest mayor since Michael White was elected in 1989, something White himself stressed when he approved Bibb. Kelley, on the other hand, is a veteran of politics who has the backing of incumbent Mayor Frank Jackson. Kelley would also be the first white mayor of Cleveland, where almost the majority of residents are black, since Jane Campbell stepped down after her loss to Jackson in 2005.
● Mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida: St. Pete Polls first poll of the officially non-partisan November general election, which, as usual, was conducted for Florida Politics, finds Democrat Ken Welch a large 53-36 lead over Republican Robert Blackmon.
● Germany: After 16 years in power, Chancellor Angela Merkel is finally stepping down and leaving the German people to elect a new leader when she goes to the polls on Sunday. Daily Kos Editor-in-Chief David Beard gives an overview of this momentous election.
Since Merkel first announced her departure in 2018, the country has seen several parties rise and fall in the polls. First, the Greens soared in 2019, followed by the center-right Christian Democratic Union of Merkel which has taken a big lead in the wake of the pandemic. But it was the recent rise of the center-left Social Democratic Party that made the SPD the favorite to come out on top.
With six parties competing under proportional representation, however, no one will win straight away, meaning a coalition government is in store. What form this coalition will take, of course, depends on how the results manifest themselves. Barring a failed ballot, the SPD and the Greens, their frequent partners, should find themselves on the verge of taking the lead in forming a new government, but they could be pulled in different directions by the third on which they choose to rely on to obtain the majority. Beard explains what the polls suggest for all the major competitors and games what the possible post-election alliances might look like. Check back next week for a full recap.